Since my last report in March, 2008 (
http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-4702)
the price of gas and fuel just went into one direction: forward.
The speed of the price increase is constant (steady 1/3 forward)
and we are over a historical mark and maybe psychological
threshold:
the $4.00 for the unleaded gallon. (Correction: already
there as of May 21st, 2008). The web is full with of fuel board
prices photos...and will keep coming and being posted in big
numbers as consumers are coming to age with high prices and try to
adjust so many (too many...) limited budgets.
PS. IN SOUTH FLORIDA THE PRICES ARE ALREADY OVER $4.15/G
(ALL FLAVORS) | DIESEL OVER $4.75/G. We're record breakers every
day! In Chicago you can buy the most expensive gasoline, with about
$0.30 more than average rest of the country. (As of May 25th, 2008)
Do not have any illusions: in many places all over U.S. the
price of the unleaded gallon (the cheap gasoline flavor) is well
over $4.15, but the industry mark is the
U.S. Average Price. From a crude oil price (now at about
$135.00/barrel) about 80-85% is reflected at the pumps consumer
price, the rest being made by federal taxes, local taxes,
distribution costs and pump owners/operators mark-ups.
Who is to blame: *us, the consumers*!? We did not demanded
better fuel efficient engine/vehicles as in Europe, or alternate
fuels. This reform is long time ago over-due, and should have
started at least after the big crisis of 1973. We were complacent
(SIMPLY WE DIDN'T CARE!!!) and now we are paying for this mistake.
Our fuel engines here in U.S. are not efficient and to big for the
vehicles we drive. Too few are Diesel, alcohol or liquid natural
gas powered
In Europe the motorists pay about $8.00 a gallon, but
computing the engine efficiency factor (average 4 cyls, .1.3-1.6L +
high compression ratio), we can reach the reference price of $6.5
/gallon.
I was living in Europe for many years. Sure, the distances
one has to travel are vastly bigger in USA than in Europe. They
have an advanced and superbly designed mass-transit system: in
Bucharest they have double trolley-busses, electrical trams and
electrical locomotives from the 70's. In Central Europe electrical
trains were running before, during and after WWII. Even Porsche
invented and all-wheel-drive electrical car, at the beginning of
the 20th century. Almost 100 years later, the GM is reinventing the
Volt Vehicle! Is this cynical and/or simply stupid energy policy,
so late and so little?
-
Who is to blame*? Us: un-educated and unconcerned consumers.
No cheap solutions or temporary patches have to be adopted. Only
comprehensive ones, based as well on a massive and well tuned mass
transit system, can be implemented.
On the small individual level we are still better off than
them (the Europeans). *
But for how long*? Our way of living and working is
different, but we live in an interconnected planet.
Another factor to blame is the current value of U.S.
currency: lower vs. the Euro and with a different buying power than
some years ago.
More important, the international markets changed and more
and more people (around the world and in the big emerging markets)
have more money and access to buy a pre-owned or a new vehicle.
Many decades ago, in Europe, you will have posted a decal
with the most efficient speed for your vehicle, in such a manner to
direct you to drive at that speed and not pas it, in order to save
fuel.
The price hike will continue for many months until a new
source of fuel + new technologies will be introduced and
implemented: like ethanol from sugar cane (and not corn-*corn is
food*!!!), hybrid, liquid natural gas or AWD electrical cars.
The price at the pomp is rising in a tempo of about
$0.17-0.35/week.
But of course we will be in a snow-ball price effect in our
economy, which will alter
all prices from groceries to entertainment and tourism.
Nothing around us will be left out of this high-fuel-price cyclone,
because many decades ago we have based our
way of living on fossil oil, something that we do not
produce at home.
*
Can we expect a moderation in the oil prices*? It will be
difficult to achieve and such a complicated economical
international arena and a "hot" political climate. Possible: yes;
only if the domestic consumption will be down by 25% and U.S. will
achieve oil independence by exploring existing reserves and putting
in the market alternative fuels.
U.S. has the technology edge to do it and the industrial
might & the civil + political will to explore new ways to
become and achieve oil/energy independence. Still the
political pressure is not so big for the developers to go
fast & furious to the computer screens (called before, "drawing
tables") and design new ways to save petrol. We need an
Energy Revolution
to occur, and the minds and hearts (and the pockets...) are
starting to set on one.
I estimate, at some time in the short future, that the
pressure on economy (energy and food), local and global, will lead
to profound political changes that will simply switch from fossil
fuels based energy to hydro, natural gas, solar and atomic energy.
It is simply a matter of
finding alternative sources of energy, locally. The energy
cannot be imported. It has to be produced, harvested at home,
renewable, clean-burning and in agreement with the environment.
I think that the idea for a change from the fossil fuel in in
march right now (not yet a full march!) It's only a matter of time
until building steam & rolling.
> Anyway, there is no intelligence in burning fossil fuel in
an engine. Oil is better processed and taken advantage (with
improving efficiency and many important derivate products) in the
chemical industry.
IF MY DEAR READER HAS ANY IDEAS ON HOW TO SAVE FUEL &
IMPROVE MILEAGE, PLEASE E-MAIL ME.
Hedi Enghelberg
hedi@enghelberg.com
In response to assignment:
Pain at the pump