Mideast Drought and Fall in Syrian Wheat Harvest
The wheat harvest is in across Syria and the Middle East and
the situation looks grim
The most recent Syrian estimates place the harvest at 2
million metric tons - less than half the 4.1 million ton harvest of
2007, and the 2007 harvest was almost 1 million tons below a peak
harvest.
The culprit is a devastating drought that has left soil dry
and dusty. The early stages of the drought affected the 2007
harvest and it has now intensified and decimated the 2008 Syrian
harvest. The strength of the drought increases eastward towards the
Iraqi border. Everywhere here precipitation has been less than 50 %
of normal. Even weeds are sparse in dry empty fields.
The drought is also affecting pasture lands putting pressure
on the Bedouin and their sheep. In Syria both shepherds and farmers
face an uncertain future. Irrigation has helped in some cases, but
less that 50% of fields are irrigated and irrigation water often
disappears in the dry winds. In addition, groundwater and reservoir
supplies are under pressure, some reservoirs are now mere puddles
compared to their former capacity.
Even the mighty Euphrates is not immune to the drought,
discharge has decreased and pumps run incessantly drawing water
from the river. Syria has promised to aid Iraqi farmers with
releases of water, but by the time the flow reaches the border the
salt content has doubled.
Syria with its growing and increasingly urbanized population
has only months of emergency wheat stores left and for the first
time in 15 years is resorting to purchases on the international
market - a market that is becoming increasingly expensive.
SImilar declining harvests due to drought in Turkey, Lebanon,
Iran are dirving those countries to purchases on the international
market, In Syria and throughout the Middle East, an old enemy,
drought, is again challenging an ancient and troubled region.
G M MacDonald